2026 college volleyball rankings

In a series of posts, we developed a new method for ranking college football teams. The method evolved a little over time, but it currently has three basic steps. First, all applicable teams are listed in a table in the same order down the rows and across the columns from left to right. Second, one entry is made in the table for each game; that entry can simply be a 1 to indicate a victory by the row team over the column team, it can be coded to reflect the margin of victory and location of the game from the victor’s perspective (home, away, or neutral), and it can also give more weight to games later in the season. Third, the model uses hill climbing to iteratively swap teams in the rows and columns to minimize the sum of the values below the diagonal weighted by the distance below the diagonal; in effect, the model is trying to find the ranking with the smallest degree of upsets by lower ranked teams over higher ranked teams.

Thus far, we have applied our method only to ranking college football teams. Of course, it can be applied to rank teams in any sport or activity. The model is most useful when there is a relatively large number of games, including a significant number of nonconference games, but not enough games so the standings alone can be used to rank teams.

We use the method here to rank women’s college volleyball teams. However, at least initially, we do not include all 348 Division 1 teams, which would require a great deal of both coding time and computational time. Instead, we include only the 99 teams from the top seven conferences: the Big Ten, the Southeastern Conference, the Big 12, the Atlantic Coast Conference, the Big East, the Mid-American Conference, and Conference USA.

Similar to our method for college football, we coded the games so a 3-0 set win is worth twice as much as a 3-2 set win and a road win is worth 10 percent more than a neutral court win, with a home win being worth 10 percent less than a neutral court win. We did not adjust for when the games were played in the season. So, our ranking is meant to capture the teams’ overall performance during the season, not their current performance. Following is our ranking of the 99 teams from those seven conferences.

Rank

Team

Conference

1

Nebraska

Big Ten

2

Pittsburgh

ACC

3

Brigham Young

Big 12

4

Florida

SEC

5

Southern Methodist

ACC

6

Kentucky

SEC

7

Louisville

ACC

8

Wisconsin

Big Ten

9

Texas

SEC

10

Tennessee

SEC

11

Arizona St.

Big 12

12

Oregon

Big Ten

13

Penn St.

Big Ten

14

Texas A&M

SEC

15

Purdue

Big Ten

16

Minnesota

Big Ten

17

Washington

Big Ten

18

Indiana

Big Ten

19

Texas Christian

Big 12

20

Kansas

Big 12

21

Baylor

Big 12

22

Colorado

Big 12

23

Utah

Big 12

24

Michigan St.

Big Ten

25

California Los Angeles

Big Ten

26

Illinois

Big Ten

27

Michigan

Big Ten

28

Southern California

Big Ten

29

Stanford

ACC

30

Vanderbilt

SEC

31

North Carolina

ACC

32

Marquette

Big East

33

Creighton

Big East

34

Miami

ACC

35

Missouri

SEC

36

Mississippi St.

SEC

37

Georgia

SEC

38

Georgia Tech

ACC

39

Oklahoma

SEC

40

California

ACC

41

Houston

Big 12

42

Iowa St.

Big 12

43

Kansas St.

Big 12

44

Cincinnati

Big 12

45

Louisiana St.

SEC

46

Auburn

SEC

47

South Carolina

SEC

48

Mississippi

SEC

49

Central Florida

Big 12

50

West Virginia

Big 12

51

Maryland

Big Ten

52

Arkansas

SEC

53

Rutgers

Big Ten

54

Iowa

Big Ten

55

Alabama

SEC

56

Ohio St.

Big Ten

57

Northwestern

Big Ten

58

Duke

ACC

59

DePaul

Big East

60

North Carolina St.

ACC

61

Florida St.

ACC

62

Wake Forest

ACC

63

Western Kentucky

CUSA

64

Missouri St.

CUSA

65

Bowling Green

MAC

66

Toledo

MAC

67

Miami Ohio

MAC

68

Ball St.

MAC

69

Xavier

Big East

70

St. John’s

Big East

71

Providence

Big East

72

Butler

Big East

73

Villanova

Big East

74

Georgetown

Big East

75

Connecticut

Big East

76

Seton Hall

Big East

77

Middle Tennessee State

CUSA

78

Florida International

CUSA

79

Kennesaw St.

CUSA

80

Sam Houston St.

CUSA

81

Liberty

CUSA

82

New Mexico St.

CUSA

83

Notre Dame

ACC

84

Boston College

ACC

85

Virginia Tech

ACC

86

Virginia

ACC

87

Clemson

ACC

88

Delaware

CUSA

89

Ohio

MAC

90

Western Michigan

MAC

91

Buffalo

MAC

92

Syracuse

ACC

93

Akron

MAC

94

Kent St.

CUSA

95

Eastern Michigan

MAC

96

Arizona

Big 12

97

Texas Tech

Big 12

98

Central Michigan

MAC

99

Jacksonville St.

CUSA

So, we actually needed to include only five conferences to rank the top teams. The highest ranked team from the MAC or Conference USA is Western Kentucky at number 63. We note that Western Kentucky is effectively ranked number 30 in the current AVCA rankings, as it received the fifth most voting points out of teams not ranked in the top 25. However, it is easy to understand why our model ranks it much lower. Western Kentucky does not have any wins against teams ranked above it in our model; its best win is against Pepperdine, which is not included in our model. Western Kentucky lost to all three teams ranked above it in our model, including Oklahoma, which is currently in 11th place in the SEC and is ranked number 39 in our model.

Among the Division 1 teams not included in our model, the team that would rank highest is probably Colorado State, which is effectively ranked number 29 in the current AVCA rankings. Colorado State might rank similarly to Colorado in our model, as the teams split a home-and-home series against each other.

The table below compares the top 25 teams in our rankings with the 25 teams in the current AVCA rankings. Both rankings include teams only from four conferences. However, our model is more impressed with teams from the Big Ten (with 10 teams versus 8 in AVCA’s ranking) and less impressed with teams from the ACC (with only 3 teams versus 5 in AVCA’s ranking).

Rank

My Model

AP

1

Nebraska

Nebraska

2

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

3

Brigham Young

Louisville

4

Florida

Florida

5

Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist

6

Kentucky

Kentucky

7

Louisville

Wisconsin

8

Wisconsin

Brigham Young

9

Texas

Arizona St.

10

Tennessee

Tennessee

11

Arizona St.

Penn St.

12

Oregon

Oregon

13

Penn St.

Texas

14

Texas A&M

Purdue

15

Purdue

Kansas

16

Minnesota

Texas Christian

17

Washington

Texas A&M

18

Indiana

Washington

19

Texas Christian

Minnesota

20

Kansas

North Carolina

21

Baylor

Indiana

22

Colorado

Vanderbilt

23

Utah

Stanford

24

Michigan St.

Baylor

25

California Los Angeles

Colorado

We note that including the other 249 Division 1 teams in our model would likely have little effect on our top 25 teams. Our top 25 teams have only two losses to teams not included in our model: Arizona St.’s loss to California Davis and Utah’s loss to Long Beach St. So, those two teams might be ranked slightly lower if all Division 1 teams were included.

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